Puente Genil vs Marbella FC

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Puente Genil

Marbella FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.5% DRAW 30.8% AWAY 33.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.7% 2.75 DRAW 30.5% 3.13 AWAY 34.8% 2.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Marbella FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Puente Genil Marbella FC

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Marbella FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Puente Genil Marbella FC

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Puente Genil has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Puente Genil Marbella FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Puente Genil ↓ -0.13 (-4.3%)

Marbella FC ↑ +0.49 (+21.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.