Orihuela vs Castellon B

26 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Orihuela

Castellon B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.5% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 23.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% 1.82 DRAW 25.7% 3.64 AWAY 22.8% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Castellon B

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orihuela Castellon B

Shots 10.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 13.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orihuela Castellon B

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orihuela Castellon B

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Orihuela ↓ -0.28 (-13.4%)

Castellon B ↑ +1.00 (+32.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.