Amagaju vs Al Merrikh

18 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Amagaju

Al Merrikh

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 16.5% DRAW 31.9% AWAY 51.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.6% 6.31 DRAW 29.7% 3.10 AWAY 55.7% 1.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Amagaju has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Amagaju Al Merrikh

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 4.8 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Amagaju, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Amagaju Al Merrikh

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Amagaju has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Amagaju Al Merrikh

The combined recent performance profile favours Amagaju.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Amagaju ↑ +1.06 (+20.2%)

Al Merrikh ↓ -0.08 (-4.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.