Bahrain vs Yemen

30 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Bahrain

Yemen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 27.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% 2.15 DRAW 28.3% 3.47 AWAY 26.2% 3.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Yemen has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bahrain Yemen

Shots 4.0 · On target 0.5 Shots 4.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Yemen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bahrain Yemen

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bahrain Yemen

The combined recent performance profile favours Yemen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Bahrain ↑ +0.42 (+24.3%)

Yemen ↓ -0.66 (-15.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.