United Arab Emirates vs Yemen

24 Sep 2026 · 17:55

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

United Arab Emirates

Yemen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.6% DRAW 16.4% AWAY 8.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.5% 1.25 DRAW 16.3% 5.87 AWAY 7.2% 13.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: United Arab Emirates

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

United Arab Emirates Yemen

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 2.0 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours United Arab Emirates, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

United Arab Emirates Yemen

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 0.8

Yemen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

United Arab Emirates Yemen

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

United Arab Emirates ↓ -0.09 (-7.0%)

Yemen ↑ +5.30 (+66.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.