Oman vs Saudi Arabia

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Oman

Saudi Arabia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 16.7% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 57.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.8% 6.41 DRAW 24.3% 3.90 AWAY 60.8% 1.56

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Saudi Arabia

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Oman Saudi Arabia

Shots 2.8 · On target 1.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Saudi Arabia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Oman Saudi Arabia

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Oman has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Oman Saudi Arabia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Oman ↑ +1.91 (+42.4%)

Saudi Arabia ↓ -0.25 (-13.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.