Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr

22 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Naft Gachsaran

Ario Eslamshahr

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.2% DRAW 34.2% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% 2.30 DRAW 33.2% 2.71 AWAY 27.6% 3.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ario Eslamshahr

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Naft Gachsaran Ario Eslamshahr

Shots 0.0 · On target 0.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Ario Eslamshahr, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Naft Gachsaran Ario Eslamshahr

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 0.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Naft Gachsaran Ario Eslamshahr

The combined recent performance profile favours Ario Eslamshahr.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Naft Gachsaran = (0.0%)

Ario Eslamshahr = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.