Havadar SC vs Besat Kermanshah

22 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Havadar SC

Besat Kermanshah

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.6% DRAW 32.7% AWAY 30.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.8% 2.49 DRAW 32.2% 2.77 AWAY 32.1% 2.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Havadar SC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Havadar SC Besat Kermanshah

Shots 4.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Havadar SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Havadar SC Besat Kermanshah

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Havadar SC Besat Kermanshah

The combined recent performance profile favours Havadar SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Havadar SC ↑ +0.23 (+10.2%)

Besat Kermanshah ↓ -0.33 (-10.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.