Gandzasar Kapan vs FC Urartu

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Gandzasar Kapan

FC Urartu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.0% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 52.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.9% 3.88 DRAW 25.1% 3.70 AWAY 51.0% 1.82

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FC Urartu

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gandzasar Kapan FC Urartu

Shots 8.3 · On target 1.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Urartu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gandzasar Kapan FC Urartu

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8

FC Urartu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gandzasar Kapan FC Urartu

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Urartu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Gandzasar Kapan ↓ -0.13 (-3.1%)

FC Urartu ↑ +0.15 (+9.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.