Uzbekistan (W) vs Hong Kong (W)

21 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Uzbekistan (W)

Hong Kong (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.7% DRAW 15.3% AWAY 8.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.1% 1.25 DRAW 16.0% 5.95 AWAY 7.9% 12.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Uzbekistan (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Uzbekistan (W) Hong Kong (W)

Shots 12.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Uzbekistan (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Uzbekistan (W) Hong Kong (W)

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Uzbekistan (W) Hong Kong (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Uzbekistan (W) ↓ -0.09 (-6.9%)

Hong Kong (W) ↑ +3.65 (+43.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.