Bangladesh (W) vs Myanmar (W)

21 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Bangladesh (W)

Myanmar (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.7% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 56.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.6% 4.80 DRAW 22.0% 4.29 AWAY 58.4% 1.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Bangladesh (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bangladesh (W) Myanmar (W)

Shots 5.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 5.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bangladesh (W) Myanmar (W)

Shots allowed 21.5 · On target allowed 11.8 Shots allowed 24.0 · On target allowed 11.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bangladesh (W) Myanmar (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Bangladesh (W) ↓ -5.40 (-52.9%)

Myanmar (W) ↑ +0.35 (+28.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.