Persiba Balikpapan vs De Red FC

25 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Persiba Balikpapan

De Red FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.8% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 42.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.3% 2.91 DRAW 28.4% 3.20 AWAY 40.4% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Persiba Balikpapan

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Persiba Balikpapan De Red FC

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 3.3 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Persiba Balikpapan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Persiba Balikpapan De Red FC

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.5

De Red FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Persiba Balikpapan De Red FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Persiba Balikpapan ↑ +0.31 (+11.8%)

De Red FC ↓ -0.15 (-6.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.