San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs Vinotinto Ecuador

02 Oct 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

San Antonio FC Cotacachi

Vinotinto Ecuador

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.3% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 62.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.3% 5.65 DRAW 23.8% 4.11 AWAY 58.9% 1.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Vinotinto Ecuador relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.1% win probability, compared with 58.9% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Vinotinto Ecuador has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Antonio FC Cotacachi Vinotinto Ecuador

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Vinotinto Ecuador, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Antonio FC Cotacachi Vinotinto Ecuador

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Vinotinto Ecuador has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Antonio FC Cotacachi Vinotinto Ecuador

The combined recent performance profile favours Vinotinto Ecuador.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

San Antonio FC Cotacachi ↑ +1.55 (+37.8%)

Vinotinto Ecuador ↓ -0.14 (-7.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.