Philippines U23 vs Kuwait U23

22 Sep 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Philippines U23

Kuwait U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.9% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 58.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.6% 4.49 DRAW 21.9% 4.22 AWAY 57.6% 1.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Kuwait U23 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Philippines U23 Kuwait U23

Shots 2.5 · On target 0.5 Shots 3.3 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Kuwait U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Philippines U23 Kuwait U23

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Kuwait U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Philippines U23 Kuwait U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Kuwait U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Philippines U23 ↓ -1.36 (-23.2%)

Kuwait U23 ↑ +0.03 (+2.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.