Iran U23 vs North Korea U23

23 Sep 2026 · 07:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Iran U23

North Korea U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.0% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 20.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.0% 1.79 DRAW 27.3% 3.48 AWAY 19.8% 4.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: North Korea U23

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Iran U23 North Korea U23

Shots 5.8 · On target 1.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours North Korea U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Iran U23 North Korea U23

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Iran U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Iran U23 North Korea U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Iran U23 ↓ -0.33 (-15.6%)

North Korea U23 ↑ +1.57 (+49.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.