China U23 vs UAE U23

23 Sep 2026 · 07:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

China U23

UAE U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.1% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 20.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% 1.91 DRAW 28.5% 3.27 AWAY 22.7% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: China U23

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

China U23 UAE U23

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours China U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

China U23 UAE U23

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

China U23 UAE U23

The combined recent performance profile favours China U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

China U23 ↓ -0.21 (-10.0%)

UAE U23 ↑ +0.92 (+28.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.