Hasselt Reserves vs KV Kortrijk Reserves

02 Oct 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Hasselt Reserves

KV Kortrijk Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.8% DRAW 17.3% AWAY 60.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.7% 4.00 DRAW 18.8% 4.83 AWAY 58.5% 1.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

KV Kortrijk Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hasselt Reserves KV Kortrijk Reserves

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours KV Kortrijk Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hasselt Reserves KV Kortrijk Reserves

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.5

KV Kortrijk Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hasselt Reserves KV Kortrijk Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours KV Kortrijk Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Hasselt Reserves ↓ -1.25 (-23.8%)

KV Kortrijk Reserves ↑ +0.15 (+10.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.