RFC Mandel Utd vs Sporting Hasselt

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

RFC Mandel Utd

Sporting Hasselt

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.4% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 57.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.2% 4.58 DRAW 22.9% 4.05 AWAY 56.9% 1.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sporting Hasselt

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

RFC Mandel Utd Sporting Hasselt

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Sporting Hasselt, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RFC Mandel Utd Sporting Hasselt

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RFC Mandel Utd Sporting Hasselt

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

RFC Mandel Utd ↑ +0.25 (+5.7%)

Sporting Hasselt ↑ +0.06 (+3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.