ACS Petrolul Hartiesti vs Unirea Bascov

23 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.0 pp

ACS Petrolul Hartiesti

Unirea Bascov

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 42.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.0% 2.40 DRAW 24.0% 3.80 AWAY 38.0% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Unirea Bascov clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.0% win probability, compared with 38.0% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ACS Petrolul Hartiesti

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Unirea Bascov

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 2.3 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours ACS Petrolul Hartiesti, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Unirea Bascov

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.5

Unirea Bascov has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ACS Petrolul Hartiesti Unirea Bascov

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

ACS Petrolul Hartiesti ↑ +0.40 (+20.0%)

Unirea Bascov ↓ -0.48 (-16.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.