CSM Alexandria vs Dunarea Giurgiu

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

CSM Alexandria

Dunarea Giurgiu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.0% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 20.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% 1.80 DRAW 24.6% 4.10 AWAY 19.2% 5.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Dunarea Giurgiu

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSM Alexandria Dunarea Giurgiu

Shots 6.0 · On target 1.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Dunarea Giurgiu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSM Alexandria Dunarea Giurgiu

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.3

CSM Alexandria has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSM Alexandria Dunarea Giurgiu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CSM Alexandria ↑ +0.33 (+22.4%)

Dunarea Giurgiu ↓ -0.38 (-6.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.