ACS Medias 2022 vs Tricolorul Breaza

25 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

ACS Medias 2022

Tricolorul Breaza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.4% DRAW 16.8% AWAY 8.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.5% 1.36 DRAW 18.8% 5.10 AWAY 10.7% 9.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for ACS Medias 2022 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.4% win probability, compared with 70.5% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

ACS Medias 2022 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ACS Medias 2022 Tricolorul Breaza

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 5.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours ACS Medias 2022, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ACS Medias 2022 Tricolorul Breaza

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.5

ACS Medias 2022 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ACS Medias 2022 Tricolorul Breaza

The combined recent performance profile favours ACS Medias 2022.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

ACS Medias 2022 ↓ -0.04 (-2.9%)

Tricolorul Breaza ↑ +4.00 (+80.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.