CSSM Vaslui vs ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

23 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

CSSM Vaslui

ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.6% DRAW 18.6% AWAY 13.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.0% 1.44 DRAW 20.0% 4.70 AWAY 15.0% 6.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CSSM Vaslui relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 67.6% win probability, compared with 65.0% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CSSM Vaslui has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSSM Vaslui ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

Shots 5.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSSM Vaslui ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5

CSSM Vaslui has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSSM Vaslui ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc

The combined recent performance profile favours CSSM Vaslui.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CSSM Vaslui ↓ -0.21 (-12.5%)

ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc ↑ +2.35 (+60.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.