Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII vs FC Nera Bogodinti

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

FC Nera Bogodinti

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.3% DRAW 20.9% AWAY 17.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.3% 1.48 DRAW 21.3% 4.33 AWAY 16.5% 5.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII FC Nera Bogodinti

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 3.0 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII FC Nera Bogodinti

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.8

FC Nera Bogodinti has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII FC Nera Bogodinti

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII ↓ -0.44 (-22.9%)

FC Nera Bogodinti ↑ +0.84 (+17.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.