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Romania Liga III · RO

CS Academica Recea vs Transilvania Sport Academy

23 Sep 2026 · 16:00
SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp
CS Academica Recea
Transilvania Sport Academy
HOME 51.5% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 26.5%
HOME 48.5% 1.87 DRAW 23.2% 3.90 AWAY 28.3% 3.20

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CS Academica Recea relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.5% win probability, compared with 48.5% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CS Academica Recea

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
CS Academica Recea Transilvania Sport Academy
Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 1.3 · On target 0.0

Recent attacking output favours CS Academica Recea, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
CS Academica Recea Transilvania Sport Academy
Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Transilvania Sport Academy has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
CS Academica Recea Transilvania Sport Academy

The combined recent performance profile favours CS Academica Recea.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CS Academica Recea ↓ -0.51 (-21.3%)
Transilvania Sport Academy ↑ +0.83 (+34.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.