Serrano vs Campo Grande AC

26 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Serrano

Campo Grande AC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.4% DRAW 30.0% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% 2.06 DRAW 29.6% 3.05 AWAY 26.6% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Campo Grande AC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Serrano Campo Grande AC

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Serrano Campo Grande AC

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Campo Grande AC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Serrano Campo Grande AC

The combined recent performance profile favours Campo Grande AC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Serrano ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Campo Grande AC ↓ -0.02 (-0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.