Jaguares de Chiapas FC vs Racing de Veracruz

29 Sep 2026 · 04:05

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.7 pp

Jaguares de Chiapas FC

Racing de Veracruz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.6% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 54.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.6% 3.20 DRAW 23.4% 3.91 AWAY 48.1% 1.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Racing de Veracruz substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.8% win probability, compared with 48.1% implied by the market. The 6.7 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Racing de Veracruz has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jaguares de Chiapas FC Racing de Veracruz

Shots 9.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 15.0 · On target 9.5

Recent attacking output favours Racing de Veracruz, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jaguares de Chiapas FC Racing de Veracruz

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 1.5

Racing de Veracruz has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jaguares de Chiapas FC Racing de Veracruz

The combined recent performance profile favours Racing de Veracruz.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Jaguares de Chiapas FC ↑ +0.20 (+6.7%)

Racing de Veracruz ↓ -0.10 (-5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.