Deportiva Venados vs Club Celaya FC

27 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Deportiva Venados

Club Celaya FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.6% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 39.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.1% 2.81 DRAW 27.8% 3.24 AWAY 40.1% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Club Celaya FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportiva Venados Club Celaya FC

Shots 11.5 · On target 6.8 Shots 16.3 · On target 8.8

Recent attacking output favours Club Celaya FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportiva Venados Club Celaya FC

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Deportiva Venados has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportiva Venados Club Celaya FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

Deportiva Venados —

Club Celaya FC —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.