CF Reboceros La Piedad vs Irapuato

22 Sep 2026 · 04:05

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

CF Reboceros La Piedad

Irapuato

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 35.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% 2.34 DRAW 26.4% 3.40 AWAY 35.2% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Irapuato

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CF Reboceros La Piedad Irapuato

Shots 10.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 15.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Irapuato, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CF Reboceros La Piedad Irapuato

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5

CF Reboceros La Piedad has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CF Reboceros La Piedad Irapuato

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CF Reboceros La Piedad ↑ +0.04 (+1.7%)

Irapuato = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.