Acambaro vs Artesanos Metepec FC

28 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.7 pp

Acambaro

Artesanos Metepec FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 29.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% 2.25 DRAW 26.7% 3.40 AWAY 33.0% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Acambaro clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.0% win probability, compared with 40.3% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Acambaro

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Acambaro Artesanos Metepec FC

Shots 15.5 · On target 8.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Acambaro, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Acambaro Artesanos Metepec FC

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Acambaro Artesanos Metepec FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Acambaro.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Acambaro = (0.0%)

Artesanos Metepec FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.