Al-Arabi Irbid vs Al-Jazeera

18 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Al-Arabi Irbid

Al-Jazeera

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.7% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 39.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% 3.41 DRAW 29.3% 3.25 AWAY 42.8% 2.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al-Arabi Irbid relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.7% win probability, compared with 27.9% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al-Jazeera

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al-Arabi Irbid Al-Jazeera

Shots 6.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Al-Jazeera, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al-Arabi Irbid Al-Jazeera

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Al-Arabi Irbid has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al-Arabi Irbid Al-Jazeera

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al-Arabi Irbid ↑ +0.91 (+36.4%)

Al-Jazeera ↓ -0.33 (-12.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.