FK Potkozarje vs Leotar

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

FK Potkozarje

Leotar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.5% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 49.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.0% 4.26 DRAW 28.6% 3.28 AWAY 49.4% 1.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Leotar has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Potkozarje Leotar

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 6.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Leotar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Potkozarje Leotar

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.8

Leotar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Potkozarje Leotar

The combined recent performance profile favours Leotar.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FK Potkozarje ↑ +1.02 (+31.5%)

Leotar ↓ -0.19 (-9.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.