Forfar vs Formartine United

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

Forfar

Formartine United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.8% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 41.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.2% 2.61 DRAW 24.6% 3.95 AWAY 38.1% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Formartine United relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.4% win probability, compared with 38.1% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Formartine United has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Forfar Formartine United

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 16.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Formartine United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Forfar Formartine United

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Formartine United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Forfar Formartine United

The combined recent performance profile favours Formartine United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Forfar ↑ +0.46 (+21.4%)

Formartine United ↑ +0.15 (+6.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.