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Sweden Cup Women · SE

Linköpings FC (W) vs IFK Norrkoping (W)

29 Sep 2026 · 19:00
STRONG EDGE HOME +8.3 pp
Linköpings FC (W)
IFK Norrkoping (W)
HOME 33.4% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 39.4%
HOME 25.0% 3.85 DRAW 26.4% 3.64 AWAY 48.6% 1.98

StochasticBet rates Linköpings FC (W) substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.4% win probability, compared with 25.0% implied by the market. The 8.3 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Linköpings FC (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Linköpings FC (W) IFK Norrkoping (W)
Shots 17.0 · On target 7.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Linköpings FC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Linköpings FC (W) IFK Norrkoping (W)
Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Linköpings FC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Linköpings FC (W) IFK Norrkoping (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Linköpings FC (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Linköpings FC (W) ↓ -0.02 (-0.4%)
IFK Norrkoping (W) ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.