Orebro SK (W) vs Eskilstuna Utd (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.1 pp

Orebro SK (W)

Eskilstuna Utd (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.7% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 55.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.7% 5.40 DRAW 20.4% 4.40 AWAY 62.9% 1.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Orebro SK (W) substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 22.7% win probability, compared with 16.7% implied by the market. The 6.1 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Eskilstuna Utd (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orebro SK (W) Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orebro SK (W) Eskilstuna Utd (W)

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 7.8

Orebro SK (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orebro SK (W) Eskilstuna Utd (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Orebro SK (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Orebro SK (W) = (0.0%)

Eskilstuna Utd (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.