Jitex BK (W) vs Vittsjö GIK (W)

29 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Jitex BK (W)

Vittsjö GIK (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.1% DRAW 17.2% AWAY 67.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.2% 8.90 DRAW 16.2% 6.16 AWAY 72.5% 1.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Jitex BK (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 15.1% win probability, compared with 11.2% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Jitex BK (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jitex BK (W) Vittsjö GIK (W)

Shots 15.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Jitex BK (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jitex BK (W) Vittsjö GIK (W)

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 7.3

Jitex BK (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jitex BK (W) Vittsjö GIK (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Jitex BK (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Jitex BK (W) ↑ +3.40 (+61.8%)

Vittsjö GIK (W) ↓ -0.02 (-1.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.