Shabab Al-Aqaba SC vs Sahl Horan SC

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.2 pp

Shabab Al-Aqaba SC

Sahl Horan SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.6% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 63.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.9% 5.30 DRAW 23.0% 4.36 AWAY 58.1% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sahl Horan SC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.2% win probability, compared with 58.1% implied by the market. The 5.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sahl Horan SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shabab Al-Aqaba SC Sahl Horan SC

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 14.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Sahl Horan SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shabab Al-Aqaba SC Sahl Horan SC

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Sahl Horan SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shabab Al-Aqaba SC Sahl Horan SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Sahl Horan SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Shabab Al-Aqaba SC ↑ +1.30 (+32.5%)

Sahl Horan SC = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.