Hay Al-Amir Hassan vs Al Hashemeya

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Hay Al-Amir Hassan

Al Hashemeya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 28.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% 2.15 DRAW 27.0% 3.53 AWAY 28.7% 3.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Hashemeya

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hay Al-Amir Hassan Al Hashemeya

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hay Al-Amir Hassan Al Hashemeya

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.3

Hay Al-Amir Hassan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hay Al-Amir Hassan Al Hashemeya

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hay Al-Amir Hassan ↑ +0.32 (+17.4%)

Al Hashemeya ↓ -0.48 (-12.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.