Al Hashemeya vs Jerash SC

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.6 pp

Al Hashemeya

Jerash SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.7% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 48.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.6% 3.43 DRAW 27.3% 3.46 AWAY 45.1% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Jerash SC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.6% win probability, compared with 45.1% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Jerash SC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Hashemeya Jerash SC

Shots 11.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Hashemeya Jerash SC

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Jerash SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Hashemeya Jerash SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Jerash SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al Hashemeya ↑ +0.93 (+37.2%)

Jerash SC ↓ -0.45 (-17.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.