Al Ahli Amman vs Ma'an

24 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Al Ahli Amman

Ma'an

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 24.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% 2.03 DRAW 29.2% 3.10 AWAY 26.3% 3.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Ahli Amman

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Ahli Amman Ma'an

Shots 14.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Al Ahli Amman, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Ahli Amman Ma'an

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Ma'an has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Ahli Amman Ma'an

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Ahli Amman ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

Ma'an ↑ +0.04 (+1.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.