Santa Cruz FC vs Floresta EC

20 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Santa Cruz FC

Floresta EC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.4% DRAW 34.2% AWAY 15.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.0% 1.84 DRAW 32.7% 2.93 AWAY 15.3% 6.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Floresta EC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santa Cruz FC Floresta EC

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santa Cruz FC Floresta EC

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santa Cruz FC Floresta EC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Santa Cruz FC ↑ +0.06 (+3.4%)

Floresta EC ↑ +0.78 (+14.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.