UE Sant Andreu vs Real Madrid B

23 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

UE Sant Andreu

Real Madrid B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.0% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 45.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.7% 3.10 DRAW 27.5% 3.35 AWAY 42.8% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Real Madrid B has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

UE Sant Andreu Real Madrid B

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Real Madrid B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UE Sant Andreu Real Madrid B

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Real Madrid B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UE Sant Andreu Real Madrid B

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Madrid B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

UE Sant Andreu ↑ +0.17 (+5.7%)

Real Madrid B ↓ -0.13 (-5.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.