Brasil de Farroupilha vs GE Bage

24 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Brasil de Farroupilha

GE Bage

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% DRAW 33.8% AWAY 28.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.4% 2.25 DRAW 32.8% 2.84 AWAY 25.9% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

GE Bage has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brasil de Farroupilha GE Bage

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours GE Bage, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brasil de Farroupilha GE Bage

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5

GE Bage has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brasil de Farroupilha GE Bage

The combined recent performance profile favours GE Bage.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Brasil de Farroupilha ↑ +0.05 (+3.0%)

GE Bage ↓ -0.04 (-0.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.