CE Bento Goncalves vs Sport Clube Gaucho

24 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

CE Bento Goncalves

Sport Clube Gaucho

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 25.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.93 DRAW 28.2% 3.31 AWAY 23.4% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Sport Clube Gaucho has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CE Bento Goncalves Sport Clube Gaucho

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 15.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Sport Clube Gaucho, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CE Bento Goncalves Sport Clube Gaucho

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CE Bento Goncalves Sport Clube Gaucho

The combined recent performance profile favours Sport Clube Gaucho.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CE Bento Goncalves ↑ +0.02 (+1.3%)

Sport Clube Gaucho ↑ +0.21 (+4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.