US Yacoub El Mansour vs SC Chabab Mohammedia

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

US Yacoub El Mansour

SC Chabab Mohammedia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.2% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 16.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.5% 1.71 DRAW 28.2% 3.25 AWAY 18.3% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for US Yacoub El Mansour relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.2% win probability, compared with 53.5% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: US Yacoub El Mansour

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

US Yacoub El Mansour SC Chabab Mohammedia

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

US Yacoub El Mansour SC Chabab Mohammedia

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.3

US Yacoub El Mansour has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

US Yacoub El Mansour SC Chabab Mohammedia

The combined recent performance profile favours US Yacoub El Mansour.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

US Yacoub El Mansour ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

SC Chabab Mohammedia = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.