KAC Kenitra vs WAF Widad Fes

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

KAC Kenitra

WAF Widad Fes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 22.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% 2.00 DRAW 30.5% 3.05 AWAY 23.1% 4.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: KAC Kenitra

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KAC Kenitra WAF Widad Fes

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours KAC Kenitra, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KAC Kenitra WAF Widad Fes

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.8

WAF Widad Fes has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KAC Kenitra WAF Widad Fes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

KAC Kenitra ↓ -0.32 (-13.8%)

WAF Widad Fes ↑ +0.78 (+23.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.