Cienciano vs CD Los Chankas

30 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Cienciano

CD Los Chankas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.7% DRAW 19.1% AWAY 13.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.2% 1.50 DRAW 20.8% 4.63 AWAY 15.0% 6.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Cienciano relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 67.7% win probability, compared with 64.2% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cienciano

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cienciano CD Los Chankas

Shots 15.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Cienciano, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cienciano CD Los Chankas

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cienciano CD Los Chankas

The combined recent performance profile favours Cienciano.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Cienciano ↑ +0.08 (+5.5%)

CD Los Chankas ↓ -1.65 (-20.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.