Audax RJ U20 vs Resende RJ U20

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +13.3 pp

Audax RJ U20

Resende RJ U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.9% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 29.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.6% 3.06 DRAW 26.5% 3.64 AWAY 41.9% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Audax RJ U20 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.9% win probability, compared with 31.6% implied by the market. The 13.3 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Audax RJ U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Audax RJ U20 Resende RJ U20

Shots 13.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Audax RJ U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Audax RJ U20 Resende RJ U20

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 25.3 · On target allowed 9.3

Audax RJ U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Audax RJ U20 Resende RJ U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Audax RJ U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Audax RJ U20 ↑ +0.43 (+16.4%)

Resende RJ U20 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.