Serrano RJ U20 vs Perolas Negras U20

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.0 pp

Serrano RJ U20

Perolas Negras U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 32.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.6% 2.77 DRAW 27.8% 3.45 AWAY 37.6% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Serrano RJ U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.6% win probability, compared with 34.6% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Serrano RJ U20

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Serrano RJ U20 Perolas Negras U20

Shots 16.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 4.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Serrano RJ U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Serrano RJ U20 Perolas Negras U20

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Perolas Negras U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Serrano RJ U20 Perolas Negras U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Serrano RJ U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Serrano RJ U20 ↑ +0.17 (+6.4%)

Perolas Negras U20 ↑ +0.18 (+7.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.