America RJ U20 vs Cabofriense U20

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.8 pp

America RJ U20

Cabofriense U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 25.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% 2.35 DRAW 29.3% 3.28 AWAY 30.0% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates America RJ U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.6% win probability, compared with 40.8% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

America RJ U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

America RJ U20 Cabofriense U20

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours America RJ U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

America RJ U20 Cabofriense U20

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 3.5

America RJ U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

America RJ U20 Cabofriense U20

The combined recent performance profile favours America RJ U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

America RJ U20 ↑ +0.15 (+7.0%)

Cabofriense U20 ↑ +0.10 (+3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.