Olaria RJ U20 vs Araruama FC U20

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.5 pp

Olaria RJ U20

Araruama FC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.7% DRAW 17.1% AWAY 8.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.2% 1.43 DRAW 19.8% 5.00 AWAY 11.0% 9.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Olaria RJ U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.7% win probability, compared with 69.2% implied by the market. The 5.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Olaria RJ U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Olaria RJ U20 Araruama FC U20

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.8 Shots 3.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Olaria RJ U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Olaria RJ U20 Araruama FC U20

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Olaria RJ U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Olaria RJ U20 Araruama FC U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Olaria RJ U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Olaria RJ U20 ↓ -0.12 (-7.7%)

Araruama FC U20 ↑ +4.00 (+80.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.